Israel · Liga Leumit

Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem Prediction

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Maccabi Bnei Raina badgeMaccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem badgeHapoel Kfar Shalem

Match prediction

  • The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
  • Raina's perfect head-to-head record and superior Poisson share support the home side, yet their poor home form and leaky home defence qualify that edge.
  • Kfar Shalem's stronger attack and away scoring record keep the draw plausible, which is why the model avoids backing a straight home win.
  • Both teams' goal profiles and the +1.5 line align, since neither side has been held scoreless and most matches clear two goals.
  • Raina's away wins contrast with home defeats, suggesting venue matters less than the model's home-draw split implies.
  • Kfar Shalem's away losses and heavy away concessions weaken their case, reinforcing the draw as the safer half of the double chance.
Predicted winner
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Maccabi Bnei Raina or draw and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorMaccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Kfar Shalem
Form53.0%47.0%
Attack45.0%55.0%
Defence65.0%35.0%
Poisson64.0%36.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals100.0%0.0%
Total56.8%43.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Maccabi Bnei Raina

Recent form: LWLWWWL.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Recent form: WLWLDDW.

Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Maccabi Bnei Raina 1–0 Hapoel Kfar Shalem (26 Dec 2025)
  2. Maccabi Bnei Raina 3–0 Hapoel Kfar Shalem (26 Dec 2024)
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