Maccabi Ashdod vs Holon Yermiyahu Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double-chance advice the logical expression of a near-even contest.
- Holon's superior form and head-to-head record support their inclusion, yet Ashdod's stronger attack and Poisson edge explain why a home win isn't dismissed.
- Holon's three home clean sheets contrast with a 3-1 away defeat, so their defensive solidity may not travel to Ashdod.
- Ashdod's four-match winless run of draws and a loss, combined with no clean sheets, undercuts any case for backing them outright.
- Both teams' low goal outputs and frequent unders suggest a tight, low-scoring game consistent with the draw component of the advice.
- Head-to-head draws recur across recent meetings, reinforcing the draw leg while Holon's historical edge covers the alternative outcome.
- Predicted winner
- Holon Yermiyahu
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Holon Yermiyahu
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Maccabi Ashdod | Holon Yermiyahu |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Attack | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Defence | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Poisson | 66.0% | 34.0% |
| H2h | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Goals | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Total | 41.7% | 58.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Maccabi Ashdod
Recent form: LDDD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Holon Yermiyahu
Recent form: DWLW.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Holon Yermiyahu —–— Maccabi Ashdod (27 Mar 2026)
- Maccabi Ashdod 1–1 Holon Yermiyahu (13 Dec 2025)
- Holon Yermiyahu 5–3 Maccabi Ashdod (25 Apr 2025)
- Maccabi Ashdod 1–4 Holon Yermiyahu (28 Dec 2024)
- Holon Yermiyahu 0–0 Maccabi Ashdod (22 Mar 2024)