Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Ironi Modi'in Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance, since the away side carries only a 10% win share.
- Nazareth's superior form, attack, defence and head-to-head scores support the home-or-draw advice, though the Poisson metric favours Modi'in and tempers confidence.
- Modi'in's away record of one win in three, with heavy home defeats, weakens their case despite the Poisson split pointing their way.
- Nazareth's modest scoring and failure to keep away clean sheets suggest the draw half of the double chance carries real weight.
- Both teams' low-scoring profiles, with most matches under 2.5 goals, point toward a tight contest rather than a decisive home win.
- The single head-to-head meeting, a Nazareth away win, is too small a sample to strongly reinforce the home-side recommendation.
- Predicted winner
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Maccabi Ahi Nazareth or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Ironi Modi'in |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| Attack | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Defence | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| Poisson | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Total | 59.8% | 40.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Recent form: LLWLDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Ironi Modi'in
Recent form: LWDDLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Ironi Modi'in 1–3 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (28 Oct 2025)