Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Prediction
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Luxembourg or draw
Match prediction
- Luxembourg's superior form and attack ratings, plus a recent away win over Bulgaria, support the double-chance advice despite equal home and draw probabilities.
- Bulgaria's defence rating is stronger than Luxembourg's, but their winless form and lack of away fixtures this sample weaken any away-win case.
- The head-to-head record is balanced with three draws in six meetings, reinforcing the draw component of the double chance.
- Both teams' goal samples are small and low-scoring, so the model's equal home and draw probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty rather than a clear edge.
- Luxembourg's home loss to Iceland and failure to score at home contrast with their away form, qualifying the home-win portion of the advice.
- Bulgaria's clean sheet against Estonia shows defensive capability, but their single goal in two matches limits their winning potential.
- Predicted winner
- Luxembourg
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Luxembourg or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Luxembourg | Bulgaria |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 55.0% | 45.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Luxembourg
Recent form: WL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Bulgaria
Recent form: LD.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Bulgaria 1–2 Luxembourg (26 Sep 2026)
- Luxembourg 0–1 Bulgaria (15 Nov 2024)
- Bulgaria 0–0 Luxembourg (12 Oct 2024)
- Luxembourg 0–0 Bulgaria (20 Nov 2022)
- Luxembourg 1–1 Bulgaria (10 Oct 2017)