Second NL · Croatia
Lucko vs Zagora Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward Zagora as the winner, though its 45% away probability is matched exactly by a 45% draw probability and only a 10% home chance, so the advice is better read as a slight preference than a clear edge. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Zagora leads on form (55.00 vs 45.00), attack (70.00 vs 30.00) and Poisson (74.00 vs 26.00), while Lucko's only clear advantage is defence (69.00 vs 31.00). The head-to-head, goals and total comparison fields are all populated at 0.00 or neutral values, and the head-to-head record itself is empty, so no direct meeting history is available to separate the sides. Lucko's five-match form of DWLDL shows a side that has scored just once at home across three fixtures, failed to score in two of five games, and taken only one win, which explains the low 30.00 attack rating. Zagora's LDDDW is more encouraging but hardly dominant, with three draws in five, no away win, and a 5-0 home win over Uljanik sitting alongside a 3-5 home loss, so the 70.00 attack rating rests on a small and volatile sample. The goals analysis sharpens that contrast: Zagora average 2.80 goals scored per game against Lucko's 1.20, yet Zagora also concede 2.20 per game, including 30% of their concessions in the 31-45 window, so their attacking edge comes with defensive exposure. Lucko's defensive numbers look steadier at 1.00 conceded per game, but 60% of those goals arrive in the opening 15 minutes, a pattern that could undermine the very metric that keeps them competitive. The last-five records confirm the tension, as Lucko's only win was a 3-0 away at Hrvatski Dragovoljac while Zagora's standout was a 5-0 home win over Uljanik, and Zagora's 4-4 draw at Jarun illustrates how open their matches can become. Overall, the evidence supports Zagora as the marginally more likely winner on form, attack and Poisson, but the equal draw probability, Lucko's superior defence, and the absence of head-to-head data mean the prediction should be treated as a modest lean rather than a confident outcome.
- Predicted winner
- Zagora
- Betting advice
- Winner : Zagora
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Lucko | Zagora |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Attack | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Defence | 69.0% | 31.0% |
| Poisson | 26.0% | 74.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 42.5% | 57.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Lucko
Recent form: DWLDL.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Zagora
Recent form: LDDDW.
Average goals scored: 2.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


