Lørenskog vs Skeid Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Skeid a 45% win probability and Lørenskog only 10%, with the draw also at 45%, which is why the advice is a double chance on draw or Skeid rather than a straight away win. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where form is dead level at 50.00 each and head-to-head is also split 50/50, so neither side owns a clear recent edge in those two categories. The sharper separation appears in attack, where Skeid rates 63.00 against Lørenskog's 38.00, and in goals, where Skeid rates 67.00 against 33.00, suggesting the away side carries the greater scoring threat. However, the Poisson metric points the other way at 73.00 for Lørenskog versus 27.00 for Skeid, a conflict that helps explain why the model stops short of backing Skeid to win outright and instead protects the draw. The team analysis reinforces that tension: Lørenskog have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses from 20 games with 29 goals for and 32 against, while Skeid have only 5 wins, 2 draws and 13 losses with 27 scored and 43 conceded. Skeid's defensive record is the weaker one at 2.20 goals conceded per game overall, including 2.50 at home, and their away scoring average of just 0.70 goals per game is a real qualification on their attacking rating. The last-five records are similarly discouraging for Skeid, who have lost four of five including a 0-6 home defeat to Tromsdalen and a 1-4 loss to Valerenga, while Lørenskog have lost three of five but kept a 1-0 away win at Rana and a 1-1 draw with Junkeren. The head-to-head record offers the clearest counterweight to Skeid's poor form, since Skeid beat Lørenskog 3-0 in a 2024 friendly and Lørenskog won the most recent league meeting 2-1 in April 2026, leaving the historical sample small and mixed. Overall, the evidence supports a low-confidence lean toward Skeid avoiding defeat rather than a convincing away performance, because their attacking and goals ratings are offset by poor form, weak away output and a Poisson measure that favours Lørenskog.

Predicted winner

Skeid

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Skeid

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Skeid 1–2 Lørenskog (18 Apr 2026)
2. Skeid 3–0 Lørenskog (28 Feb 2024)