Druha Liga · Ukraine
Lozova vs Penuel Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model output gives Lozova a 50% home probability and a 50% draw probability, with Penuel at 0%, producing the advice “Double chance: Lozova or draw,” and the comparison metrics broadly reinforce that lean. Lozova’s form score of 88.00 against Penuel’s 13.00, plus attacking and defensive edges of 60.00 versus 40.00 and 68.00 versus 32.00, suggest the gap is not marginal, while the Poisson split of 62.00 to 38.00 points the same direction. The total comparison of 69.50 to 30.80 confirms that the model sees Lozova as the stronger side overall, yet the head-to-head, goals, and h2h comparison fields are all populated with 0.00 for both teams, so those specific metrics offer no separating signal. Lozova’s last five show a W-W-L-L-L sequence, including a 2-1 away win at Metalurh Zaporizhya and a 1-0 home win over SC Poltava 2, but also a 1-6 home loss to Kudrivka that exposes defensive volatility. Penuel’s last five are L-L-L-L-D, with four defeats and a 2-2 away draw at Metalurh Zaporizhya, and they failed to score in three of those five matches, which weakens their case for an away result. The season performance data add nuance: Lozova have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses from six, while Penuel have 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, so Lozova’s advantage is real but not overwhelming. Lozova’s goals analysis shows 1.00 scored and 1.30 conceded per game, whereas Penuel average 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, a defensive gap that supports the double-chance advice but also hints at possible goals. Both teams’ goal distributions are thin, with Lozova’s goals against split between the 31-45 and 76-90 windows and Penuel’s goals for concentrated late, so the samples are too small to treat as stable patterns. The head-to-head record is unavailable, and the 0.00 h2h and goals comparison values should be read as missing rather than as evidence of balance, so the prediction rests mainly on form, Poisson, and season performance.
- Predicted winner
- Lozova
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Lozova or draw
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Lozova | Penuel |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88.0% | 13.0% |
| Attack | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Defence | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| Poisson | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 69.5% | 30.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Lozova
Recent form: LDLLWW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Penuel
Recent form: WLDLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


