Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven Prediction
· Segra Field
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% Indy Eleven split makes double chance the logical expression of its uncertainty, since neither outcome dominates.
- Indy Eleven's stronger form and defence ratings support their inclusion, though their poor away record of one win in eleven tempers that edge.
- Loudoun United's attack rating exceeds Indy's, but their single home win in thirteen undermines any home advantage at Segra Field.
- Head-to-head is perfectly balanced at 50-50, reinforcing the draw's prominence and cautioning against backing either side outright.
- Both teams' goal profiles skew heavily under 2.5, suggesting a low-scoring contest that raises draw likelihood within the double chance.
- Indy Eleven's recent away form includes two draws and a loss, consistent with the model treating the draw as equally probable as an away win.
- Predicted winner
- Indy Eleven
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Indy Eleven
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Loudoun United | Indy Eleven |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Attack | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Defence | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| Poisson | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 47.7% | 52.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Loudoun United
Recent form: LDLDDDDWDLLDLDDWWLDDLLLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Indy Eleven
Recent form: LWDDWDLWWWLWLLLLDWWLDDWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Indy Eleven 0–1 Loudoun United (26 Jul 2026)
- Indy Eleven 2–1 Loudoun United (19 Oct 2025)
- Loudoun United 3–2 Indy Eleven (17 Aug 2025)
- Loudoun United 0–1 Indy Eleven (09 Oct 2024)
- Indy Eleven 1–1 Loudoun United (14 Jul 2024)