Londrina vs Criciuma Prediction
Match prediction
- Criciuma's 45% win probability and equal draw share justify the double-chance advice, since Londrina's 10% win probability is the clear outlier.
- The model's near-even split between Criciuma and the draw reflects genuine uncertainty, so the advice hedges rather than backing a single outcome.
- Criciuma's superior season record, with 14 wins to Londrina's 7, supports the away side's higher overall rating despite identical recent form scores.
- Londrina's attack rating of 67 exceeds Criciuma's 33, yet their defensive and Poisson metrics lag, explaining why the model still favors the visitors.
- Head-to-head history heavily favors Criciuma at 85%, with Londrina winless in recent meetings, reinforcing the away-leaning prediction.
- Criciuma's away scoring vulnerability, conceding 1.20 per game, keeps the draw probability elevated and justifies covering both outcomes.
- Predicted winner
- Criciuma
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Criciuma
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Londrina | Criciuma |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Poisson | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| H2h | 15.0% | 85.0% |
| Goals | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Total | 44.3% | 55.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Londrina
Recent form: WDLLDLLLWLLLWWDWDDLLLLDLDLWWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Criciuma
Recent form: WDLWLWDDDDWWDWWWWWWDLWDLLWLLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Criciuma 1–0 Londrina (06 Jun 2026)
- Criciuma 2–0 Londrina (12 Aug 2023)
- Londrina 1–1 Criciuma (01 May 2023)
- Londrina 1–1 Criciuma (30 Jul 2022)
- Criciuma 1–0 Londrina (15 Apr 2022)