Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv's perfect defensive comparison score and five clean sheets in six support the low-scoring half of the advice.
- Arda Kardzhali's away form is weak, with three losses and eight goals conceded on the road, reinforcing the home-or-draw lean.
- Both teams' goal data show no match exceeding 3.5 goals, making the under 3.5 component the most statistically consistent element.
- Head-to-head is split evenly and Arda won the most recent meeting, which tempers confidence in a Lokomotiv victory.
- Lokomotiv's recent five matches produced only one win and one goal scored, a caution against expecting a decisive home performance.
- Predicted winner
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Lokomotiv Plovdiv or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Arda Kardzhali |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 76.0% | 24.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Poisson | 81.0% | 19.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Total | 63.8% | 36.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Recent form: DWWDWW.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Arda Kardzhali
Recent form: WDDWWLWLDL.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–1 Arda Kardzhali (24 Aug 2026)
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–0 Arda Kardzhali (04 Jul 2026)
- Arda Kardzhali 4–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv (16 May 2026)
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–0 Arda Kardzhali (08 May 2026)
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Arda Kardzhali (30 Apr 2026)