3. Division - Girone 1 · Norway
Lokomotiv Oslo vs Gamle Oslo Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward Gamle Oslo with a double chance of draw or away plus over 1.5 goals, reflecting probabilities of 45% draw and 45% away against only 10% for a Lokomotiv Oslo win. That stance is broadly consistent with the comparison metrics, where Gamle Oslo leads form 56 to 44, attack 54 to 46, defence 60 to 40, and dominates the Poisson and goals splits at 74 to 26 and 86 to 14 respectively. The head-to-head comparison is even more lopsided at 100 to 0 in Gamle Oslo's favour, though it rests on a single recorded meeting, a 6-1 Gamle Oslo home win in June 2026, so it should be treated as a strong but small-sample signal rather than a settled pattern. The season records reinforce the gap: Gamle Oslo has 13 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 20 matches with a seven-game winning streak, while Lokomotiv Oslo has 6 wins, 2 draws and 12 losses and a six-game losing streak. Gamle Oslo's goals analysis shows 3.40 scored and 1.90 conceded per game, compared with 1.80 scored and 3.00 conceded for Lokomotiv Oslo, which supports both the away-leaning double chance and the over 1.5 goals element. The recent form is more conflicted, however, because Gamle Oslo has lost its last three matches (1-2, 1-3, 1-2) after earlier wins, while Lokomotiv Oslo has alternated with two wins and three defeats in its last five, including a 5-2 home win and a 0-5 away loss. That recent wobble for Gamle Oslo qualifies the otherwise dominant profile and helps explain why the model stops short of a straight away win, splitting the remaining probability almost evenly between draw and away. The goals data also shows Lokomotiv Oslo's matches frequently pass 1.5 goals (10 of 20 over, 10 under) and Gamle Oslo's do so in 15 of 20, so the +1.5 component looks reasonably supported even if the exact winner is less certain. Overall, the evidence points to Gamle Oslo as the stronger side with a clear edge in most metrics, but the head-to-head sample is tiny and their three-match losing run means the draw-or-away double chance is a cautious rather than confident reading.
- Predicted winner
- Gamle Oslo
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Gamle Oslo and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Lokomotiv Oslo | Gamle Oslo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Attack | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Defence | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Poisson | 26.0% | 74.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 14.0% | 86.0% |
| Total | 34.0% | 66.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Lokomotiv Oslo
Recent form: LLWWLDLLLLLLWLWDLWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Gamle Oslo
Recent form: WLDWWWWWLLLWWWWWWWLL.
Average goals scored: 3.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Gamle Oslo 6–1 Lokomotiv Oslo (24 Jun 2026)


