3. liga - CFL A · Czech-Republic

Loko Vltavín vs Králův Dvůr Prediction

· Stadion U Pruhonu

Loko Vltavín badgeLoko Vltavín vs Králův Dvůr badgeKrálův Dvůr

Current score: Loko Vltavín 2–3 Králův Dvůr (Second Half)

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Králův Dvůr as a combo winner with over 1.5 goals, though its 45% away probability is matched by a 45% draw and only 10% for Loko Vltavín, so the edge is far from decisive. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Králův Dvůr leads on form (60 vs 40), attack (55 vs 45), defence (63 vs 38), Poisson (86 vs 14), head-to-head (75 vs 25), goals (79 vs 21) and total (69.7 vs 30.5), yet the draw share suggests the market still sees a plausible stalemate. Králův Dvůr's own record supports the stronger profile with five wins, one draw and one loss from seven, including a 2-4 away win and only one clean sheet, while Loko Vltavín sit on five wins, one draw and one loss but with a heavier 1.50 goals-against average at home. The goals analysis adds nuance: Loko Vltavín average 2.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded, with 23.53% of their goals in the 46-60 and 76-90 windows, whereas Králův Dvůr average 1.90 scored and 1.70 conceded, with 46.15% of their goals in the 31-45 window. Both teams' over 1.5 goals records are strong, with Loko Vltavín going over in six of seven and Králův Dvůr in five of seven, which broadly supports the +1.5 component of the advice. The last-five records qualify the headline form: Loko Vltavín lost 0-4 at home to Sparta Praha II and 1-4 away to Králův Dvůr but won 4-2 at Povltava FA, while Králův Dvůr beat Povltava FA 2-1, lost 0-3 to Zbrojovka Brno and won 4-2 at Benešov. The head-to-head record is the most one-sided evidence, with Králův Dvůr winning 4-1 and 5-0 in 2026 and 2025, plus three draws and four Loko Vltavín wins across older meetings, so the recent sample favours the away side but the historical series is mixed. Overall, the model's away lean and over 1.5 advice are consistent with the comparison and recent head-to-head data, but the equal draw probability, Loko Vltavín's scoring output and the small seven-match samples mean the prediction should be treated as a tentative rather than a confident call.

Predicted winner
Králův Dvůr
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Králův Dvůr and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorLoko VltavínKrálův Dvůr
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack45.0%55.0%
Defence38.0%63.0%
Poisson14.0%86.0%
H2h25.0%75.0%
Goals21.0%79.0%
Total30.5%69.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Loko Vltavín

Recent form: WDDWDWL.

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Králův Dvůr

Recent form: DWWWLWW.

Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Králův Dvůr 4–1 Loko Vltavín (26 Aug 2026)
  2. Králův Dvůr 5–0 Loko Vltavín (06 May 2026)
  3. Loko Vltavín 1–1 Králův Dvůr (22 Nov 2025)
  4. Králův Dvůr 1–1 Loko Vltavín (21 Aug 2024)
  5. Loko Vltavín 0–0 Králův Dvůr (06 Apr 2024)
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