Llanes vs Condal Prediction

Match prediction

• Condal's perfect four-match record and three clean sheets sharply contrast Llanes' winless form, supporting the away win despite the modest 45% probability.
• The model's equal 45% draw probability signals real uncertainty, since Llanes' two draws and low-scoring history could frustrate a Condal side that scored just once at home.
• Llanes concede 2.8 goals per game while Condal allow only 0.3, so the +1.5 goals component looks well supported by the defensive gap.
• Condal's away scoring average of 3.0 goals per game, including a 4-0 win, makes the over 1.5 threshold plausible even without a Llanes goal.
• Head-to-head favors Llanes historically, but those results predate Condal's current form surge, so the model weights recent performance more heavily.
• Llanes' 75% of goals arriving late suggests they remain a threat, meaning the combo bet carries risk if Condal's clean-sheet run ends.

Predicted winner

Condal

Betting advice

Combo Winner : Condal and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Llanes 1–0 Condal (14 Apr 2024)
2. Condal 1–0 Llanes (26 Nov 2023)
3. Condal 0–0 Llanes (15 Jan 2023)
4. Llanes 2–0 Condal (11 Sep 2022)
5. Llanes 2–0 Condal (21 Feb 2021)