Llaneros vs America de Cali Prediction
· Estadio Bello Horizonte
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or America de Cali
Match prediction
- The model gives America de Cali and the draw identical 45% probabilities, so the double-chance advice reflects near-equal cover rather than a clear away edge.
- Llaneros' 10% win probability is consistent with their weak form and only eight wins across thirty matches, making a home victory the least likely outcome.
- America's superior form, defence and head-to-head scores support the away side, yet their seven away defeats and 1.20 away goals conceded show vulnerability on the road.
- Llaneros' twelve draws in thirty games and three recent stalemates, plus two goalless head-to-head meetings, explain why the draw carries equal weight to an away win.
- Both attacks rate equally at 50, so the edge comes from America's defence and form rather than any attacking superiority, supporting caution over a straight away bet.
- America's away scoring drops to 1.00 per game from 2.00 at home, reinforcing that the draw-or-away double chance is safer than backing them outright.
- Predicted winner
- America de Cali
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or America de Cali
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Llaneros | America de Cali |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| Poisson | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| H2h | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Goals | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Total | 40.0% | 60.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Llaneros
Recent form: WDDDWLLDDWLDDDWDLDLWDWDWLLLLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
America de Cali
Recent form: WWDLWLWWLDWDLWLWWLWDLWWWWDWDWLDW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- America de Cali 0–0 Llaneros (26 Mar 2026)
- Llaneros 0–0 America de Cali (12 Jul 2025)
- America de Cali 4–3 Llaneros (25 Jan 2025)
- Llaneros 1–1 America de Cali (07 Aug 2016)
- America de Cali 2–2 Llaneros (22 Mar 2016)


