Colombia · Primera A

Llaneros vs America de Cali Prediction

· Estadio Bello Horizonte

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or America de Cali

Llaneros badgeLlaneros vs America de Cali badgeAmerica de Cali

Match prediction

  • The model gives America de Cali and the draw identical 45% probabilities, so the double-chance advice reflects near-equal cover rather than a clear away edge.
  • Llaneros' 10% win probability is consistent with their weak form and only eight wins across thirty matches, making a home victory the least likely outcome.
  • America's superior form, defence and head-to-head scores support the away side, yet their seven away defeats and 1.20 away goals conceded show vulnerability on the road.
  • Llaneros' twelve draws in thirty games and three recent stalemates, plus two goalless head-to-head meetings, explain why the draw carries equal weight to an away win.
  • Both attacks rate equally at 50, so the edge comes from America's defence and form rather than any attacking superiority, supporting caution over a straight away bet.
  • America's away scoring drops to 1.00 per game from 2.00 at home, reinforcing that the draw-or-away double chance is safer than backing them outright.
Predicted winner
America de Cali
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or America de Cali
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorLlanerosAmerica de Cali
Form27.0%73.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence31.0%69.0%
Poisson50.0%50.0%
H2h36.0%64.0%
Goals46.0%54.0%
Total40.0%60.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Llaneros

Recent form: WDDDWLLDDWLDDDWDLDLWDWDWLLLLWL.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

America de Cali

Recent form: WWDLWLWWLDWDLWLWWLWDLWWWWDWDWLDW.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. America de Cali 0–0 Llaneros (26 Mar 2026)
  2. Llaneros 0–0 America de Cali (12 Jul 2025)
  3. America de Cali 4–3 Llaneros (25 Jan 2025)
  4. Llaneros 1–1 America de Cali (07 Aug 2016)
  5. America de Cali 2–2 Llaneros (22 Mar 2016)
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