Livingston vs Ayr Utd Prediction
· The Home of the Set Fare Arena
Match prediction
- Livingston's superior form, attack, defence, and Poisson metrics all favor them, supporting the double-chance advice despite the draw probability matching their win probability.
- Ayr's recent record of three losses in five and a weaker away attack suggests they are unlikely to win, reinforcing the protection against defeat.
- Livingston's head-to-head dominance, including a 5-0 home win, strengthens the case for avoiding an away victory.
- Both teams' goal profiles show most matches staying under 2.5 goals, indicating a tight contest where the draw component of double chance is valuable.
- Livingston's tendency to concede late and Ayr's early concessions could produce goals, but neither side's scoring rate suggests a clear winner.
- The equal 45% home and draw probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty, making the double-chance advice a sensible hedge rather than a strong home endorsement.
- Predicted winner
- Livingston
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Livingston or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Livingston | Ayr Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Poisson | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| H2h | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals | 79.0% | 21.0% |
| Total | 68.7% | 31.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Livingston
Recent form: WLWLLWDW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Ayr Utd
Recent form: WDLDLLWL.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Livingston 5–0 Ayr Utd (18 Apr 2025)
- Ayr Utd 1–2 Livingston (22 Feb 2025)
- Livingston 0–1 Ayr Utd (21 Dec 2024)
- Ayr Utd 1–2 Livingston (19 Oct 2024)
- Livingston 2–0 Ayr Utd (19 Aug 2023)