Litija vs Adria Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Litija with a double chance of win or draw, assigning 45% to a home win, 45% to a draw, and only 10% to an Adria victory, so the advice effectively treats the away side as a marginal threat. That caution is partly supported by the comparison metrics, where Litija's form score of 57.00 and defensive score of 77.00 stand out against Adria's weaker 43.00 form and 23.00 defence, even though Adria's attack (56.00) and Poisson rating (57.00) are the higher values. The goals data complicates the picture: Adria have scored 11 goals in six games at 1.80 per match, while Litija have managed only 8 at 1.30, yet Litija's defensive record of 1.20 conceded per game is better than Adria's 1.80. Litija's last five show two wins, two draws and one loss, including clean-sheet away wins of 3-0 over IB 1975 Ljubljana and Svoboda, which helps explain their strong defensive and form scores. Adria's last five are more volatile with two wins and three defeats, and their away form is especially concerning because both away wins in the sample came at home, while their away losses include a 3-1 defeat at Rudar Trbovlje. The team analysis reinforces that split: Litija have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses overall with 3 clean sheets, whereas Adria have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses with only 1 clean sheet and no clean sheet away. Adria's home scoring is potent, averaging 2.70 goals per game, but their away average drops to 1.00, and their away defensive average of 2.00 conceded suggests the venue matters considerably. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical record to either confirm or undermine the model's lean, and the goals comparison fields for both teams are also zero, meaning those inputs add no signal. Overall, the 45% draw probability alongside the 45% home win reflects a genuinely uncertain match, with Litija's defensive solidity and Adria's away vulnerability providing the main support for the double chance, while Adria's superior attack and Poisson rating keep the away win from being dismissed entirely.

Predicted winner

Litija

Betting advice

Double chance : Litija or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.