World · Friendlies

Lithuania vs Andorra Prediction

Lithuania badgeLithuania vs Andorra badgeAndorra

Match prediction

  • The model rates Lithuania and the draw equally at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
  • Andorra's superior recent form score conflicts with a defence rating far weaker than Lithuania's, which supports covering the draw alongside a home win.
  • Andorra failed to score in four of five matches and averages 0.4 goals, reinforcing the under 3.5 goals component of the advice.
  • Lithuania's two matches produced only two goals total, and both stayed under 3.5, supporting the low-scoring expectation.
  • The absence of head-to-head data and zero Poisson values means the prediction rests mainly on form and defensive metrics rather than historical matchups.
  • Andorra's away record of three losses in four, with a 3-0 defeat, weakens their case despite the stronger overall form rating.
Predicted winner
Lithuania
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Lithuania or draw and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorLithuaniaAndorra
Form43.0%57.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence75.0%25.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total56.0%44.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Lithuania

Recent form: WL.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Andorra

Recent form: LDLWL.

Average goals scored: 0.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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