World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Lithuania U21 vs Croatia U21 Prediction

· LSC sporto kompleksas Druskininkai

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Croatia U21

Lithuania U21 badgeLithuania U21 vs Croatia U21 badgeCroatia U21

Match prediction

  • Croatia's dominant form and defensive record justify the model favoring them, though the draw-or-Croatia advice hedges against a single away stumble.
  • Lithuania's winless campaign and leaky defense make an upset unlikely, supporting the double chance rather than a straight Croatia win.
  • The head-to-head history heavily favors Croatia, reinforcing the away side's edge despite Lithuania hosting.
  • Croatia's recent loss to Ukraine shows vulnerability, which explains why the model avoids backing them outright.
  • Lithuania's late-game defensive collapses suggest Croatia can score, but their own scoring struggles limit a blowout.
  • The even split between away win and draw probabilities reflects Croatia's strength tempered by inconsistent away form.
Predicted winner
Croatia U21
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Croatia U21
Home win probability
0%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
50%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorLithuania U21Croatia U21
Form8.0%92.0%
Attack20.0%80.0%
Defence15.0%85.0%
Poisson14.0%86.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals7.0%93.0%
Total12.8%87.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Lithuania U21

Recent form: LDLLLDL.

Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.

Croatia U21

Recent form: DWWWWWL.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Croatia U21 4–0 Lithuania U21 (13 Nov 2025)
  2. Croatia U21 7–0 Lithuania U21 (17 Nov 2020)
  3. Lithuania U21 1–3 Croatia U21 (14 Nov 2019)
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