World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Lithuania U21 vs Croatia U21 Prediction
· LSC sporto kompleksas Druskininkai
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Croatia U21
Match prediction
- Croatia's dominant form and defensive record justify the model favoring them, though the draw-or-Croatia advice hedges against a single away stumble.
- Lithuania's winless campaign and leaky defense make an upset unlikely, supporting the double chance rather than a straight Croatia win.
- The head-to-head history heavily favors Croatia, reinforcing the away side's edge despite Lithuania hosting.
- Croatia's recent loss to Ukraine shows vulnerability, which explains why the model avoids backing them outright.
- Lithuania's late-game defensive collapses suggest Croatia can score, but their own scoring struggles limit a blowout.
- The even split between away win and draw probabilities reflects Croatia's strength tempered by inconsistent away form.
- Predicted winner
- Croatia U21
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Croatia U21
- Home win probability
- 0%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 50%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Lithuania U21 | Croatia U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 8.0% | 92.0% |
| Attack | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Defence | 15.0% | 85.0% |
| Poisson | 14.0% | 86.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 7.0% | 93.0% |
| Total | 12.8% | 87.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Lithuania U21
Recent form: LDLLLDL.
Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.
Croatia U21
Recent form: DWWWWWL.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Croatia U21 4–0 Lithuania U21 (13 Nov 2025)
- Croatia U21 7–0 Lithuania U21 (17 Nov 2020)
- Lithuania U21 1–3 Croatia U21 (14 Nov 2019)


