Poland · III Liga - Group 2

Lipno Stęszew vs Chemik Bydgoszcz Prediction

Lipno Stęszew badgeLipno Stęszew vs Chemik Bydgoszcz badgeChemik Bydgoszcz

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% away split reflects two teams separated by only four points in the comparison totals, so the double-chance advice correctly hedges rather than backing a clear winner.
  • Chemik Bydgoszcz's attack rating of 60 against Lipno Stęszew's defence of 52 supports the away lean, though the even Poisson split tempers confidence.
  • Lipno's seven-match losing streak within a D-L-L-L-L-L-L-L-W-D form line explains their low 10% win probability despite home advantage.
  • Chemik's six draws in nine matches, including four straight stalemates, make the draw leg of the double chance the more probable single outcome.
  • Both teams average over two goals conceded per game and neither has kept a clean sheet, making the +1.5 goals component well supported.
  • The empty head-to-head record means the prediction rests entirely on current form and goal data, so the probabilities carry wider uncertainty than usual.
Predicted winner
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Chemik Bydgoszcz and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorLipno StęszewChemik Bydgoszcz
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack40.0%60.0%
Defence52.0%48.0%
Poisson50.0%50.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total48.0%52.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Lipno Stęszew

Recent form: DLLLLLLLWD.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Chemik Bydgoszcz

Recent form: DLLDLDDDD.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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