Football League - Lowland League · Scotland

Linlithgow Rose vs Bo'ness United Prediction

Linlithgow Rose badgeLinlithgow Rose vs Bo'ness United badgeBo'ness United

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Linlithgow Rose, with a 45% home win probability and a 45% draw probability leaving Bo'ness United at just 10%, and the advised combo of a Linlithgow win with over 1.5 goals reflects that lean. That edge is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Linlithgow lead on form (63 vs 37), attack (63 vs 37), defence (55 vs 45), Poisson (64 vs 36), head-to-head (60 vs 40), goals (56 vs 44) and overall total (60.20 vs 39.80), so the model's preference is not resting on a single dimension. Linlithgow's team analysis supports the attacking side of the advice: they have 6 wins from 9, are unbeaten at home with 3 wins and a draw, and have scored in every home fixture, while their 25 goals at 2.80 per game and 4 clean sheets point to a side that both scores and limits opponents. Bo'ness United's profile is more volatile, with 4 wins and 4 defeats from 9, no away defeats but 4 home losses including a 0-5, and a goals-against average of 2.00 that makes them capable of conceding but also of scoring away, where they average 3.30 goals. The last-five records sharpen that contrast: Linlithgow have won four of five, scoring 4-0, 4-0 and 4-2 in the process, whereas Bo'ness have alternated wins and heavy defeats, including a 0-5 loss to Lochee United and a 5-2 away win at Stirling University. The head-to-head record is the main qualifier, since the last six meetings produced four home wins, one away win and a draw, with Linlithgow winning 3-1 and 3-2 at Prestonfield but losing 2-0 at Newtown Park in December 2025, so home advantage has mattered more than overall superiority. The goal-timing data also supports the over 1.5 element, as Linlithgow score 30.43% of their goals in the 76-90 window and Bo'ness concede 33.33% in the same period, suggesting late goals are plausible. The main tension is that the 45% draw probability is as high as the home win probability, which means the model's own numbers treat this as a close call rather than a clear Linlithgow victory, even though the comparison and form evidence point their way. Overall, the evidence supports the existing advice as a reasonable but uncertain read: Linlithgow's form, home record and goal output align with a home win and over 1.5 goals, while Bo'ness's away scoring and the split head-to-head record keep the draw risk meaningful.

Predicted winner
Linlithgow Rose
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Linlithgow Rose and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorLinlithgow RoseBo'ness United
Form63.0%37.0%
Attack63.0%37.0%
Defence55.0%45.0%
Poisson64.0%36.0%
H2h60.0%40.0%
Goals56.0%44.0%
Total60.2%39.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Linlithgow Rose

Recent form: DLWWLWWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.80 per match.

Bo'ness United

Recent form: LLWWDWLLW.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Bo'ness United 2–0 Linlithgow Rose (27 Dec 2025)
  2. Linlithgow Rose 3–1 Bo'ness United (06 Sep 2025)
  3. Linlithgow Rose 3–2 Bo'ness United (01 Mar 2025)
  4. Bo'ness United 1–3 Linlithgow Rose (28 Dec 2024)
  5. Linlithgow Rose 1–2 Bo'ness United (23 Mar 2024)
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