Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana
Liniers vs Excursionistas Prediction
· Juan Antonio Arias Stadium
Match prediction
- Excursionistas' superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings all point one way, so the model's 45% away win probability is the strongest single outcome.
- Because the draw also carries 45%, the advice correctly hedges with double chance rather than backing the away win alone.
- Liniers' 10% win probability reflects a side with only nine wins from 37 and sixteen matches without scoring.
- Excursionistas' 22 wins and 16 clean sheets, against Liniers' 10, show the gap is structural rather than a short recent run.
- Liniers' five-match home record of two wins, two draws and one loss suggests they can frustrate, which supports covering the draw.
- Head-to-head is mixed with home advantage often decisive, so the venue slightly tempers confidence in an away victory.
- Predicted winner
- Excursionistas
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Excursionistas
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Liniers | Excursionistas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Attack | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Defence | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Poisson | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Total | 33.2% | 67.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Liniers
Recent form: WDLLWLDWLLWDLWDLDWLLDDDLLDDDWLLWDDWLL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Excursionistas
Recent form: WWDWWWWLDDLWLDWWDWWWDWLLWDDWLWWWLWWWW.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Excursionistas 4–1 Liniers (23 May 2026)
- Liniers 1–0 Excursionistas (12 Oct 2025)
- Excursionistas 1–0 Liniers (12 Jun 2025)
- Excursionistas 0–0 Liniers (29 Jun 2024)
- Liniers 0–1 Excursionistas (13 Feb 2024)