Limbuš Pekre vs Korotan Prevalje Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Limbuš Pekre a 45% home win chance and the draw the same 45%, leaving Korotan Prevalje only 10%, which frames the advice of a Limbuš Pekre-or-draw double chance combined with under 3.5 goals. That advice is supported by the comparison metrics, where Limbuš Pekre dominate attack 71 to 29, defence 25 to 75, and Poisson 100 to 0, even though the form scores are level at 50 apiece. The head-to-head and goals comparison columns are both empty, so no direct historical or goals-based edge can be read from them, and the total split of 48.70 to 51.30 is nearly even, which slightly tempers the otherwise one-sided picture. Limbuš Pekre's six-game record of one win, one draw and four losses, with a 0.80 goals-for and 2.30 goals-against average, looks poor, but much of that damage came away from home, where they scored zero and conceded eight across two matches. Korotan Prevalje's six-game record of one win, four draws and one loss is more resilient, yet their away output is also blank, with zero goals scored and only two conceded on the road, and their overall 1.00 goals-for and 1.00 goals-against averages point to a low-scoring profile. The last-five records reinforce that contrast in style: Limbuš Pekre lost 4-0 away to NK Ormoz and 4-0 away to Šampion Celje but beat Dobrovce 3-1 at home, while Korotan Prevalje drew four of five, including 0-0 at Rače and 0-0 at home to Šmartno, with their only defeat a 2-0 away loss to Podvinci. The goal-timing data add nuance, as Limbuš Pekre conceded 66.67% of their goals against in the opening 15 minutes, a vulnerability that could undermine the clean-sheet assumption behind a home-favoured double chance. Korotan Prevalje, by contrast, have kept two clean sheets and conceded no more than two in any match, and their under 2.5 goals record shows six of six matches staying below that line, which aligns with the under 3.5 component of the advice. Because the head-to-head section is unavailable and the samples are only six matches, the 45-45-10 probabilities should be treated as a model estimate rather than a firm separation, and the double chance plus under 3.5 combination remains plausible but not assured.

Predicted winner

Limbuš Pekre

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Limbuš Pekre or draw and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.