Norway · 3. Division - Girone 5
Lillestrøm II vs Strømsgodset II Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the dead-even split signals genuine uncertainty rather than a clear edge.
- Lillestrom II's superior form, attack, and Poisson ratings support their side of the double chance, but the head-to-head record favoring Stromsgodset II is a meaningful counterweight.
- Both defences rate identically at 50, so the attacking gap between the sides is the more reliable differentiator behind the home-leaning prediction.
- Lillestrom II's recent matches and season goal totals show a strong over 2.5 tendency, supporting the goals half of the combo advice.
- Stromsgodset II's away scoring is modest and they failed to score in six matches, which tempers but does not negate the over 2.5 expectation.
- The head-to-head sample is small and spans multiple seasons and divisions, so it should qualify rather than overturn the form-based prediction.
- Predicted winner
- Lillestrøm II
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Lillestrøm II or draw and +2.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +2.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Lillestrøm II | Strømsgodset II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Attack | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 26.0% | 74.0% |
| Total | 48.7% | 51.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Lillestrøm II
Recent form: LLWWWWLWLLWWLLLLWWLLL.
Average goals scored: 3.20 per match.
Strømsgodset II
Recent form: LWWDLWWLLDLWLLWLLWLLL.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Strømsgodset II 1–3 Lillestrøm II (26 May 2026)
- Strømsgodset II 6–0 Lillestrøm II (06 Oct 2025)
- Lillestrøm II 0–2 Strømsgodset II (28 Apr 2025)
- Strømsgodset II 3–1 Lillestrøm II (19 Oct 2024)
- Lillestrøm II 1–2 Strømsgodset II (29 Apr 2024)


