Norway · 3. Division - Girone 5

Lillestrøm II vs Strømsgodset II Prediction

Lillestrøm II badgeLillestrøm II vs Strømsgodset II badgeStrømsgodset II

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the dead-even split signals genuine uncertainty rather than a clear edge.
  • Lillestrom II's superior form, attack, and Poisson ratings support their side of the double chance, but the head-to-head record favoring Stromsgodset II is a meaningful counterweight.
  • Both defences rate identically at 50, so the attacking gap between the sides is the more reliable differentiator behind the home-leaning prediction.
  • Lillestrom II's recent matches and season goal totals show a strong over 2.5 tendency, supporting the goals half of the combo advice.
  • Stromsgodset II's away scoring is modest and they failed to score in six matches, which tempers but does not negate the over 2.5 expectation.
  • The head-to-head sample is small and spans multiple seasons and divisions, so it should qualify rather than overturn the form-based prediction.
Predicted winner
Lillestrøm II
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Lillestrøm II or draw and +2.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+2.5

Prediction comparison

FactorLillestrøm IIStrømsgodset II
Form67.0%33.0%
Attack62.0%38.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson67.0%33.0%
H2h20.0%80.0%
Goals26.0%74.0%
Total48.7%51.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Lillestrøm II

Recent form: LLWWWWLWLLWWLLLLWWLLL.

Average goals scored: 3.20 per match.

Strømsgodset II

Recent form: LWWDLWWLLDLWLLWLLWLLL.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Strømsgodset II 1–3 Lillestrøm II (26 May 2026)
  2. Strømsgodset II 6–0 Lillestrøm II (06 Oct 2025)
  3. Lillestrøm II 0–2 Strømsgodset II (28 Apr 2025)
  4. Strømsgodset II 3–1 Lillestrøm II (19 Oct 2024)
  5. Lillestrøm II 1–2 Strømsgodset II (29 Apr 2024)
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