Italy · Serie D - Girone A

Ligorna vs Saluzzo Prediction

Ligorna badgeLigorna vs Saluzzo badgeSaluzzo

Match prediction

  • Saluzzo's unbeaten five-match form and superior defensive rating support the away win, though the model's 45% draw probability signals real risk.
  • Ligorna's attack rating exceeds Saluzzo's, but their weak defence rating against Saluzzo's strong one tilts the comparison toward the visitors.
  • The head-to-head record favours Ligorna, creating tension with the prediction, yet recent form and Poisson metrics more strongly support Saluzzo.
  • Both teams' goal totals and the +1.5 advice align, since neither side's matches have stayed under 1.5 goals often.
  • Saluzzo's low goals-against average and two clean sheets indicate a tight contest, so the +1.5 goals leg carries less certainty than the winner.
  • Ligorna's home record without a win weakens their case, while Saluzzo's away wins show they can perform on the road.
Predicted winner
Saluzzo
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Saluzzo and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorLigornaSaluzzo
Form44.0%56.0%
Attack53.0%47.0%
Defence31.0%69.0%
Poisson25.0%75.0%
H2h62.0%38.0%
Goals54.0%46.0%
Total44.8%55.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Ligorna

Recent form: DLLWW.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Saluzzo

Recent form: DWWDD.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Saluzzo 1–2 Ligorna (18 Jan 2026)
  2. Ligorna 1–0 Saluzzo (21 Sep 2025)
  3. Ligorna 2–2 Saluzzo (23 Feb 2025)
  4. Saluzzo 3–2 Ligorna (23 Oct 2024)
  5. Ligorna 0–0 Saluzzo (01 Sep 2024)
Loading interactive prediction…