Lidköping vs Vänersborgs FK Prediction

Match prediction

• The model gives Värnersborgs FK and the draw equal 45% shares, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear away edge.
• Lidköping's superior form, attack and defence ratings conflict with the model's low 10% home win probability, suggesting those season-long metrics overstate current home strength.
• Head-to-head and Poisson splits both favour Värnersborgs FK, reinforcing the away lean while the draw component absorbs Lidköping's home-draw tendency.
• Lidköping's five clean sheets all came away from home, exposing a defensive vulnerability at home that supports backing against a home win.
• Värnersborgs FK's away record of four wins and only three losses, with four away clean sheets, strengthens the case for the away half of the double chance.
• Both teams' goal totals cluster under 2.5, so the prediction correctly avoids an over/under call and focuses on the result market.

Predicted winner

Vänersborgs FK

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Vänersborgs FK

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Vänersborgs FK 2–1 Lidköping (17 Apr 2026)
2. Vänersborgs FK 1–1 Lidköping (27 Jun 2025)
3. Lidköping 0–0 Vänersborgs FK (25 Apr 2025)
4. Lidköping 3–0 Vänersborgs FK (20 Oct 2024)
5. Vänersborgs FK 3–1 Lidköping (07 Jun 2024)