Sweden · Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Lidingö vs Bollstanäs Prediction
Match prediction
- Lidingö's perfect recent form and head-to-head win contrast sharply with Bollstanäs' five straight losses, supporting the double-chance advice.
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities leave Bollstanäs only 10%, so the combined Lidingö-or-draw selection reflects a clear edge.
- Bollstanäs' attack scores just 1.7 goals per game while Lidingö concedes 2.1, yet the visitors' defensive record keeps the +1.5 goals line plausible.
- Both teams average roughly two goals conceded per match, making a low-scoring outcome unlikely and reinforcing the over 1.5 goals component.
- Lidingö's home form is weak with only one win in eleven, a meaningful qualifier that explains why the draw carries equal probability to a home win.
- The Poisson split of 71% away versus 29% home directly conflicts with the form and head-to-head evidence, so the advice wisely avoids a straight win bet.
- Predicted winner
- Lidingö
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Lidingö or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Lidingö | Bollstanäs |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Defence | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Poisson | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Total | 58.5% | 41.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Lidingö
Recent form: LDLLLWLDWDDLDLLWLLLLWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Bollstanäs
Recent form: WLWDDLDWLDDDLWDWWWLLLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Bollstanäs 1–3 Lidingö (03 May 2026)


