Italy · Serie D - Girone I

Licata vs Sambiase Prediction

Licata badgeLicata vs Sambiase badgeSambiase

Match prediction

  • Sambiase's unbeaten five-match form and superior attack and defence ratings justify the model's 50% away win probability and the double-chance advice.
  • Licata's recent 5-0 loss to Reggina exposes defensive vulnerability, supporting Sambiase's 70% defensive edge and the draw-or-away selection.
  • The head-to-head record favours Sambiase, but both meetings were decided by a single goal, qualifying the 50% away probability as strong rather than dominant.
  • Sambiase's goals-against average of 0.60 and clean sheets in both home and away fixtures underpin the -3.5 goals component of the advice.
  • Licata's low scoring rate and failure to exceed 3.5 goals in any match this season reinforce the under 3.5 goals prediction.
  • The model assigns zero probability to a home win, yet Licata's two home draws suggest the draw-or-away combo is the safer expression of that view.
Predicted winner
Sambiase
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Sambiase and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
0%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
50%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorLicataSambiase
Form38.0%62.0%
Attack40.0%60.0%
Defence30.0%70.0%
Poisson40.0%60.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals0.0%100.0%
Total37.0%63.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Licata

Recent form: LDDWW.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Sambiase

Recent form: WDWWW.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sambiase 1–0 Licata (17 Apr 2025)
  2. Licata 0–1 Sambiase (08 Dec 2024)
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