Libertad vs Atletico Sucre Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Atletico Sucre as the winner, yet its own probabilities split evenly at 50% draw and 50% away with 0% for a Libertad win, so the advice is better read as a clear rejection of the home side than as a confident away victory. That asymmetry is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Atletico Sucre leads on form (86.00 vs 14.00), attack (100.00 vs 0.00), defence (71.00 vs 29.00), Poisson (100.00 vs 0.00), head-to-head (100.00 vs 0.00), goals (100.00 vs 0.00) and total (78.50 vs 21.50), leaving Libertad without a single favourable category. The team analysis explains why: Libertad's last five read LLDLL with no wins, one draw and four defeats, while Atletico Sucre's WLWLL includes two wins, both at home, and no draws at all. Libertad's goal data are stark, with zero goals scored across five matches and 20 conceded, including 19 away at an average of 6.30 per away game, whereas Atletico Sucre have scored 13 and conceded eight, though their away scoring drops to 1.50 per game and their away defence leaks 3.00. The last-five records sharpen that contrast: Libertad have failed to score in all five, conceding 5-0 and 6-0 away plus 0-1 and 0-0 at home, while Atletico Sucre's 8-0 home win over Libertad sits alongside a 2-1 home win, a 3-1 away loss, a 0-1 home loss and a 2-3 away loss. The head-to-head section contains only that single 2026 meeting, an 8-0 Atletico Sucre home win, so it strongly supports the away side but rests on a very small sample. The tension is that Atletico Sucre's two wins came at home and they lost both away matches, which qualifies any expectation of an easy away performance even against a Libertad side that has scored nothing. Libertad's one clean sheet and one home draw offer the only counterweight, but with zero goals in five and an 8-0 loss in the direct meeting, the evidence collectively points away from a Libertad win while the 50% draw probability keeps a stalemate plausible.

Predicted winner

Atletico Sucre

Betting advice

Winner : Atletico Sucre

Home win probability

0%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

50%

Goals market

—

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Atletico Sucre 8–0 Libertad (23 Aug 2026)