England · Non League Premier - Isthmian

Lewes vs Whitehawk Prediction

Lewes badgeLewes vs Whitehawk badgeWhitehawk

Match prediction

  • Lewes' superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings all point one way, supporting the home side as the stronger half of the double chance.
  • Whitehawk's away record of five defeats in five, conceding three per away game, materially weakens their case despite the level head-to-head split.
  • The 45-45 draw-home probability split, with Whitehawk at just 10, shows the model sees the double chance as the value rather than a straight home win.
  • Lewes' recent form is mixed with four defeats in five, so the advice hedges a broadly superior profile against genuine short-term inconsistency.
  • Both sides' goal data lean under 2.5, suggesting a tight, low-scoring contest where the draw leg of the double chance carries real weight.
  • Head-to-head is even at 50-50 and the most recent meeting finished goalless, reinforcing caution rather than confidence in an outright Lewes victory.
Predicted winner
Lewes
Betting advice
Double chance : Lewes or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorLewesWhitehawk
Form69.0%31.0%
Attack53.0%47.0%
Defence68.0%32.0%
Poisson72.0%28.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals54.0%46.0%
Total61.0%39.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Lewes

Recent form: LDWWWWLWL.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Whitehawk

Recent form: LDLLLDLWL.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Whitehawk 0–0 Lewes (11 Aug 2026)
  2. Lewes 3–0 Whitehawk (06 Apr 2026)
  3. Whitehawk 3–1 Lewes (24 Feb 2026)
  4. Whitehawk 2–1 Lewes (21 Jan 2025)
  5. Lewes 2–1 Whitehawk (26 Aug 2024)
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