Third League - Southwest · Bulgaria
Levski Sofia II vs Natsional Sofia Prediction
Match prediction
The model’s double-chance advice for Levski Sofia II or draw rests on a narrow probability split of 35% home, 35% draw, and 30% away, so the recommendation is only marginally separated from the alternative outcomes. The comparison metrics reinforce that closeness: Levski Sofia II holds a 67 defence score against Natsional Sofia’s 33, while Natsional Sofia leads attack 67 to 33 and form 56 to 44, leaving the Poisson estimates nearly level at 47 versus 53. Those splits suggest the advice is supported more by Levski Sofia II’s defensive edge and the draw’s equal probability than by any clear attacking or form superiority. Levski Sofia II’s eight-match record of two wins, two draws, and four losses includes a 1-3 away win but also a three-match losing streak, and their home form is especially limited with no wins, two draws, and one loss in three home fixtures. Natsional Sofia’s eight-match record is one win, three draws, and four losses, with their only win coming at home and their away form showing no wins, one draw, and three losses, which weakens their case despite the stronger form and attack scores. The goals analysis adds a further qualification: Levski Sofia II average 1.30 goals for and 1.40 against, while Natsional Sofia average 1.40 for and 2.00 against, so Natsional Sofia’s attacking edge is offset by a noticeably leakier defence. Recent last-five results show Levski Sofia II with one win, one draw, and three losses, including a 3-1 away win at Chavdar Etropole and a 0-0 home draw with CSKA Sofia III, while Natsional Sofia have one win, two draws, and two losses, including a 2-0 home win over Slavia Sofia II and a 3-3 away draw at Septemvri Simitli. The head-to-head section is empty, and the goals-by-minute data are also unavailable, so no historical or timing pattern can be used to break the near-even comparison. Overall, the evidence supports the existing double-chance advice only cautiously, because Levski Sofia II’s defensive advantage and home-draw potential are real but their lack of home wins and poor recent form keep the outcome uncertain.
- Predicted winner
- Levski Sofia II
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Levski Sofia II or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Levski Sofia II | Natsional Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 47.8% | 52.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Levski Sofia II
Recent form: LWDLLLDW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Natsional Sofia
Recent form: LDLLDDLW.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


