Bulgaria · Third League - Southeast

Levski Krumovgrad vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv II Prediction

· Nikola Shterev - Starika Sports Complex

Levski Krumovgrad badgeLevski Krumovgrad vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv II badgeLokomotiv Plovdiv II

Match prediction

  • Levski Krumovgrad's perfect eight-win form and four away clean sheets underpin the model's home lean despite the draw probability matching the win at 50%.
  • The away side's three losses in five, including a 0-3 defeat, contrast sharply with the home team's flawless run, supporting the win half of the combo.
  • Levski Krumovgrad's 3.30 goals per game and four of eight matches over 3.5 goals make the +3.5 leg plausible but not dominant.
  • Lokomotiv Plovdiv II concedes 2.60 goals per game and failed to score three times, reinforcing both the home win and high-scoring expectation.
  • The head-to-head record favors the home side, though the 2022 draw shows this fixture can resist a straightforward home result.
  • The 50% draw probability is a meaningful qualifier, since a single dropped result would void the win leg even if goals flow.
Predicted winner
Levski Krumovgrad
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Levski Krumovgrad and +3.5 goals
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
+3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorLevski KrumovgradLokomotiv Plovdiv II
Form79.0%21.0%
Attack72.0%28.0%
Defence83.0%17.0%
Poisson86.0%14.0%
H2h80.0%20.0%
Goals86.0%14.0%
Total81.0%19.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Levski Krumovgrad

Recent form: WWWWWWWW.

Average goals scored: 3.30 per match.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv II

Recent form: LWLWDLLL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Lokomotiv Plovdiv II 1–1 Levski Krumovgrad (09 Apr 2022)
  2. Levski Krumovgrad 5–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv II (02 Oct 2021)
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