Bulgaria · Third League - Southeast

Levski Karlovo vs Spartak Plovdiv Prediction

Levski Karlovo badgeLevski Karlovo vs Spartak Plovdiv badgeSpartak Plovdiv

Match prediction

  • Spartak Plovdiv's 50% win probability reflects dominant form and goal metrics, though the equal 50% draw probability signals the model sees no clear edge.
  • Levski Karlovo's seven-match losing streak and zero home wins sharply contrast with Spartak's six-game winning run, supporting the away-winner advice.
  • Spartak's superior attack and defence ratings, plus a 2.5 goals-per-game average versus Levski's 0.6, reinforce the predicted winner.
  • Levski's 3.0 home goals-against average and no clean sheets suggest Spartak can score, but the 50% draw probability cautions against overconfidence.
  • Head-to-head is nearly even at 60-40, and Levski won the most recent home meeting, a small-sample counterweight to Spartak's current form.
  • Spartak's away record of three wins from three, including a 2-0 victory at Maritsa Plovdiv, strengthens the case for the away-side advice.
Predicted winner
Spartak Plovdiv
Betting advice
Winner : Spartak Plovdiv
Home win probability
0%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
50%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorLevski KarlovoSpartak Plovdiv
Form20.0%80.0%
Attack31.0%69.0%
Defence29.0%71.0%
Poisson6.0%94.0%
H2h40.0%60.0%
Goals33.0%67.0%
Total26.5%73.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Levski Karlovo

Recent form: LLLLLLLW.

Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.

Spartak Plovdiv

Recent form: WWWWWWLW.

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Spartak Plovdiv 1–3 Levski Karlovo (26 Apr 2026)
  2. Levski Karlovo 1–0 Spartak Plovdiv (22 Oct 2025)
  3. Spartak Plovdiv 5–0 Levski Karlovo (05 Apr 2025)
  4. Levski Karlovo 0–2 Spartak Plovdiv (28 Sep 2024)
  5. Levski Karlovo 1–2 Spartak Plovdiv (30 Mar 2024)
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