Bulgaria · Third League - Southeast
Levski Karlovo vs Spartak Plovdiv Prediction
Match prediction
- Spartak Plovdiv's 50% win probability reflects dominant form and goal metrics, though the equal 50% draw probability signals the model sees no clear edge.
- Levski Karlovo's seven-match losing streak and zero home wins sharply contrast with Spartak's six-game winning run, supporting the away-winner advice.
- Spartak's superior attack and defence ratings, plus a 2.5 goals-per-game average versus Levski's 0.6, reinforce the predicted winner.
- Levski's 3.0 home goals-against average and no clean sheets suggest Spartak can score, but the 50% draw probability cautions against overconfidence.
- Head-to-head is nearly even at 60-40, and Levski won the most recent home meeting, a small-sample counterweight to Spartak's current form.
- Spartak's away record of three wins from three, including a 2-0 victory at Maritsa Plovdiv, strengthens the case for the away-side advice.
- Predicted winner
- Spartak Plovdiv
- Betting advice
- Winner : Spartak Plovdiv
- Home win probability
- 0%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 50%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Levski Karlovo | Spartak Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Attack | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| Defence | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Poisson | 6.0% | 94.0% |
| H2h | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Goals | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Total | 26.5% | 73.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Levski Karlovo
Recent form: LLLLLLLW.
Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.
Spartak Plovdiv
Recent form: WWWWWWLW.
Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Spartak Plovdiv 1–3 Levski Karlovo (26 Apr 2026)
- Levski Karlovo 1–0 Spartak Plovdiv (22 Oct 2025)
- Spartak Plovdiv 5–0 Levski Karlovo (05 Apr 2025)
- Levski Karlovo 0–2 Spartak Plovdiv (28 Sep 2024)
- Levski Karlovo 1–2 Spartak Plovdiv (30 Mar 2024)


