Levanger vs Grorud Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model favours Levanger with a double chance at 45% home and 45% draw against only 10% for Grorud, so the advice effectively treats this as a match Levanger should avoid losing rather than one they are likely to dominate. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Levanger lead on form (58 vs 42), attack (68 vs 32), defence (71 vs 29) and Poisson (57 vs 43), yet the head-to-head split is perfectly even at 50-50 and the goals comparison actually tilts toward Grorud at 60-40. Levanger's season record of 15 wins, no draws and five defeats from 20 matches is unusually polarised, and their last five show four wins with three 5-0 or 5-2 scorelines interrupted by a 0-2 home loss to Ranheim, suggesting a high ceiling but also a capacity to be shut out. Grorud's 11 wins, four draws and five defeats make them harder to beat than the 10% away probability implies, and their recent form of three wins and two draws in five, including a 4-2 win over Rana and a 1-1 draw with Moss, points to a side that competes rather than collapses. The goals analysis reinforces that tension: Levanger average 2.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded, while Grorud average 1.70 scored and 1.00 conceded, so Grorud's defence is marginally tighter on a per-game basis even though Levanger's attack is far more prolific. Levanger's scoring is heavily weighted to the closing stages, with 25.49% of their goals in the 76-90 window and 21.57% in the 31-45 window, while Grorud also score late (26.47% in 76-90) but concede 25% of their goals in each of the 31-45 and 46-60 periods, which could expose them after half-time. The head-to-head record offers little comfort for a strong home lean, since Grorud won 5-1 at home in 2025 and Levanger won 3-2 away in May 2026, with the only meeting at this venue finishing 2-2. Levanger's 100% penalty conversion from six attempts and nine clean sheets contrast with Grorud's 66.67% conversion and eight clean sheets, small details that slightly favour the home side in tight margins. Overall, the evidence supports the double chance as a hedge rather than a confident home win, because Levanger's superior form and attack are offset by Grorud's resilience, the even head-to-head and the goals metric leaning away from the home team.

Predicted winner

Levanger

Betting advice

Double chance : Levanger or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Grorud 2–3 Levanger (10 May 2026)
2. Grorud 5–1 Levanger (06 Sep 2025)
3. Levanger 2–2 Grorud (27 Apr 2025)