Leones FC vs Barranquilla Prediction
· Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Barranquilla
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% Barranquilla split makes double chance the logical expression of its away-leaning but uncertain forecast.
- Leones' 10% win probability aligns with a form line yielding four wins in twenty-five matches and only one home victory.
- Barranquilla's superior form, attack, and Poisson scores support the away side, though their recent five-match losing run tempers that edge.
- Leones concede 2.00 goals per home game against Barranquilla's 1.20 scoring average, pointing to away goals without guaranteeing a win.
- Head-to-head favors Barranquilla at 62%, yet two of the last five meetings were draws, reinforcing the draw component of the advice.
- Both attacks are modest, with Leones averaging 0.60 goals and Barranquilla 1.20, so a low-scoring draw remains plausible.
- Predicted winner
- Barranquilla
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Barranquilla
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Leones FC | Barranquilla |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Poisson | 28.0% | 72.0% |
| H2h | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Goals | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Total | 36.5% | 63.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Leones FC
Recent form: DLDLLWLDLLLLLWDWDWDLLLDLL.
Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.
Barranquilla
Recent form: LWWLLWLLDDWLWLWDLWDDLLDDLWWLLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Barranquilla 3–0 Leones FC (25 Mar 2026)
- Leones FC 2–2 Barranquilla (05 Aug 2025)
- Barranquilla 2–3 Leones FC (24 Feb 2025)
- Leones FC 1–2 Barranquilla (11 Oct 2024)
- Barranquilla 2–2 Leones FC (16 Feb 2024)