Leobendorf vs Wiener Viktoria Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Leobendorf a 45% home win and 45% draw probability against Wiener Viktoria, leaving only 10% for an away win, which is why the advice is a double chance on Leobendorf or draw. That advice is not uniformly supported by the comparison metrics: Wiener Viktoria lead on form (63 versus 38), attack (56 versus 44) and defence (69 versus 31), while Leobendorf dominate the Poisson (79 versus 21), head-to-head (85 versus 15) and goals (75 versus 25) columns, so the model is leaning on historical and goal-based signals rather than current form. The head-to-head record explains much of that split, since Leobendorf won 5-0 away in February 2026 and 3-1 at home in August 2025, and also took both 2023 meetings, although Wiener Viktoria won the most recent 2022 fixtures and two of the ten encounters were draws. Recent form complicates the picture further, as Wiener Viktoria's last five read W-W-W-D-L with three straight wins and clean sheets against Wienerberg and Fach-Donaufeld, whereas Leobendorf's last five are W-W-L-L-L, meaning their two wins came after a three-match losing run. The season-long team analysis shows the same tension: Leobendorf have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from eight games with a goal difference of 10 scored and 12 conceded, while Wiener Viktoria have 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses with 14 scored and 9 conceded. Wiener Viktoria's goal profile is heavily home-weighted, averaging 2.60 goals scored at home but only 0.30 away, and their 5-1 win over Scheiblingkirchen and 3-0 win over Wienerberg both came at home, which qualifies their attacking advantage for this away trip. Leobendorf's goals analysis is more balanced but low-scoring, averaging 1.30 goals for and 1.50 against per game, with only one of eight matches going over 2.5 goals and six of eight seeing both teams score at least once. The head-to-head section is fully populated with ten meetings, but the goals-by-minute breakdowns are largely empty, so no timing pattern can be read from that data. Overall, the double chance looks like a cautious hedge: it is supported by Leobendorf's strong head-to-head and Poisson numbers and by Wiener Viktoria's poor away scoring, but it is weakened by Wiener Viktoria's superior form, defence and recent winning run, so the 45% draw component may be doing much of the work in a fixture that could easily swing either way.

Predicted winner

Leobendorf

Betting advice

Double chance : Leobendorf or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Wiener Viktoria 0–5 Leobendorf (21 Feb 2026)
2. Leobendorf 3–1 Wiener Viktoria (01 Aug 2025)
3. Leobendorf 1–1 Wiener Viktoria (08 Mar 2025)
4. Wiener Viktoria 1–1 Leobendorf (10 Aug 2024)
5. Wiener Viktoria 1–2 Leobendorf (30 Mar 2024)