Legion vs Narva U21 Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model output points to Narva U21 as the winner, with probabilities of 0% for a Legion win and 50% each for a draw and an away victory, so the advice is best read as a lean rather than a certainty. That lean is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Narva U21 dominates form (94.00 vs 6.00), attack (75.00 vs 25.00), defence (96.00 vs 4.00), Poisson (78.00 vs 22.00), goals (91.00 vs 9.00) and total (86.80 vs 13.20), while the head-to-head split of 100.00 to 0.00 in Narva's favour is the most one-sided input. The team analysis supports this: Legion have 3 wins, 3 draws and 22 defeats from 28 matches with a goal difference of 25 scored to 108 conceded, whereas Narva U21 have 19 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats from 29, scoring 69 and conceding 35. Legion's recent form string is almost entirely defeats, including a 12-0 loss away to Parnu JK Vaprus U21, and their last five produced one draw and four losses with only three goals scored and 23 conceded. Narva U21's last five are all wins, including a 4-0 home victory over JK Tabasalu and three 1-0 successes, which shows a side capable of controlling matches without necessarily running up a score. The goals analysis adds nuance: Legion concede 3.90 per game overall and 4.70 away, while Narva U21 score 2.40 per game but only 1.50 away, so the away side's attacking output is less overwhelming on the road than its defensive record of 1.20 conceded per game suggests. The head-to-head record is also not uniformly one-way, since Narva U21 won 5-0 and 2-0 at home and 4-0 and 3-1 away in some meetings, but Legion have also won 3-1 at home and drawn twice, meaning the 100% head-to-head metric compresses a more mixed history. The main tension is therefore between Narva U21's clear overall superiority and the 50% draw probability, which implies the model still sees a meaningful chance of dropped points despite the 0% home-win estimate. On balance, the evidence supports the existing Narva U21 advice, but the away scoring rate, the draw probability and the small samples in the last-five and head-to-head sections mean the outcome should be treated as uncertain rather than assured.

Predicted winner

Narva U21

Betting advice

Winner : Narva U21

Home win probability

0%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

50%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Legion 1–3 Narva U21 (09 Aug 2026)
2. Narva U21 5–0 Legion (02 May 2026)
3. Legion 0–4 Narva U21 (28 Sep 2025)
4. Narva U21 5–1 Legion (16 Aug 2025)
5. Legion 0–4 Narva U21 (29 Jun 2025)