Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's near-even probabilities and double-chance advice reflect genuine uncertainty, since home and away win chances are identical at 35 percent.
- Lechia's superior Poisson and goals metrics support the home side, yet Polonia's stronger form and attack ratings pull the other way.
- Both teams' identical 2.10 goals-against averages and zero clean sheets suggest neither defence reliably protects a lead.
- Polonia's away record of one win in four, with heavy defeats, weakens their case despite the favourable form comparison.
- The head-to-head is perfectly split with each side winning at home, reinforcing why the draw carries meaningful probability.
- Lechia's recent run of three losses in five contrasts with Polonia's similar struggles, so neither side arrives with convincing momentum.
- Predicted winner
- Lechia T. Mazowiecki
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Lechia T. Mazowiecki or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Attack | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Defence | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| Poisson | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Total | 49.7% | 50.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Recent form: LLWWWDLLLW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Recent form: LLDLLDWLLD.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Lechia T. Mazowiecki 3–1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm. (24 Nov 2024)
- Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 2–1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki (03 Aug 2024)