III Liga - Group 2 · Poland

Lech Poznań II vs Wda Świecie Prediction

· Amica Wronki Stadium

Lech Poznań II badgeLech Poznań II vs Wda Świecie badgeWda Świecie

Match prediction

The existing model output leans toward a double chance on Lech Poznań II or draw, but the probabilities are nearly level at 35% home, 35% draw and 30% away, so the advice reflects marginal rather than clear superiority. The comparison metrics pull in different directions: Wda Świecie holds the better form score (56 versus 44) and a much stronger defensive and Poisson reading (62 versus 38 in both), while Lech Poznań II leads on attack (53 versus 47), goals (79 versus 21) and an overwhelming head-to-head score (91 versus 9). That head-to-head edge is partly historical, since the most recent meeting in April 2026 ended 3-2 to Wda Świecie away, yet Lech Poznań II won the prior home fixture 6-0 and also took a 1-0 home win in August 2024, with a 1-1 draw between. Over nine league games each, Lech Poznań II record four wins, three draws and two losses, while Wda Świecie have five wins, three draws and one loss, including a four-match winning streak and no away defeats. Lech Poznań II's goal profile is more open, averaging 1.90 scored and 1.70 conceded, whereas Wda Świecie average 1.70 scored but only 1.10 conceded, with their away defence especially tight at 0.80 per game. The last-five records qualify the form gap: Lech Poznań II have two wins, two draws and one loss, while Wda Świecie have three wins, one draw and one loss, though that loss came at home to Kluczevia Stargard. Both teams have scored in every Wda Świecie league match and Lech Poznań II failed to score only once, suggesting the draw component of the double chance is plausible rather than merely protective. The evidence therefore supports the existing advice only cautiously, because Wda Świecie's defensive and form indicators could easily outweigh Lech Poznań II's historical head-to-head dominance.

Predicted winner
Lech Poznań II
Betting advice
Double chance : Lech Poznań II or draw
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorLech Poznań IIWda Świecie
Form44.0%56.0%
Attack53.0%47.0%
Defence38.0%62.0%
Poisson38.0%62.0%
H2h91.0%9.0%
Goals79.0%21.0%
Total57.2%42.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Lech Poznań II

Recent form: WDLWWLDWD.

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Wda Świecie

Recent form: DWDWWWWDL.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Wda Świecie 2–3 Lech Poznań II (10 Apr 2026)
  2. Lech Poznań II 6–0 Wda Świecie (21 Sep 2025)
  3. Wda Świecie 1–1 Lech Poznań II (15 Mar 2025)
  4. Lech Poznań II 1–0 Wda Świecie (21 Aug 2024)
Loading interactive prediction…