World · UEFA Nations League

Latvia vs Montenegro Prediction

Latvia badgeLatvia vs Montenegro badgeMontenegro

Match prediction

  • Montenegro's perfect start and superior form justify the away-winner advice, though the model's 45% draw probability signals real uncertainty.
  • Latvia's two goalless matches and failure to score in both games undercut any home attacking threat against Montenegro.
  • Montenegro's five goals across two wins show scoring depth, but conceding in both matches leaves the clean-sheet route less secure.
  • The head-to-head record favors Montenegro, yet Latvia's home win in 2021 and two draws show this fixture resists clean separation.
  • Latvia's defensive resilience, including a clean sheet at home, explains why the model still assigns a substantial draw probability.
  • Montenegro's late goals suggest second-half scoring, which could break a tight Latvia side that has yet to score in this campaign.
Predicted winner
Montenegro
Betting advice
Winner : Montenegro
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorLatviaMontenegro
Form14.0%86.0%
Attack0.0%100.0%
Defence60.0%40.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h33.0%67.0%
Goals40.0%60.0%
Total36.8%63.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Latvia

Recent form: LD.

Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.

Montenegro

Recent form: WW.

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Montenegro 0–0 Latvia (07 Sep 2021)
  2. Latvia 1–2 Montenegro (24 Mar 2021)
  3. Montenegro 1–1 Latvia (07 Oct 2020)
  4. Montenegro —–— Latvia (26 Mar 2020)
Loading interactive prediction…