World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Latvia U21 vs Malta U21 Prediction
· Daugavas stadions
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Latvia U21 or draw
Match prediction
- Latvia's perfect form and head-to-head edge over Malta support the double-chance advice, though the model's even 50-50 split signals limited conviction.
- Malta's nine straight defeats and 4.00 goals conceded per game make a Latvia loss unlikely, justifying the draw-inclusive safety net.
- Latvia's modest 0.70 goals per game explains why the model stops short of a straight win, since their attack rarely converts dominance into goals.
- Malta's failure to score in seven of nine matches suggests Latvia's defence should hold, reinforcing the low-risk double chance.
- Latvia's recent 1-0 win at Malta is the only head-to-head sample, so that trend is suggestive rather than conclusive.
- Both teams' heavy recent defeats to stronger opponents show this fixture's quality gap is relative, keeping the draw probability meaningful.
- Predicted winner
- Latvia U21
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Latvia U21 or draw
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Latvia U21 | Malta U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Defence | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Poisson | 77.0% | 23.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 69.3% | 30.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Latvia U21
Recent form: LDLLWDLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.
Malta U21
Recent form: LLLLLLLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.20 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Malta U21 0–1 Latvia U21 (18 Nov 2025)


