World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Latvia U21 vs Malta U21 Prediction

· Daugavas stadions

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Latvia U21 or draw

Latvia U21 badgeLatvia U21 vs Malta U21 badgeMalta U21

Match prediction

  • Latvia's perfect form and head-to-head edge over Malta support the double-chance advice, though the model's even 50-50 split signals limited conviction.
  • Malta's nine straight defeats and 4.00 goals conceded per game make a Latvia loss unlikely, justifying the draw-inclusive safety net.
  • Latvia's modest 0.70 goals per game explains why the model stops short of a straight win, since their attack rarely converts dominance into goals.
  • Malta's failure to score in seven of nine matches suggests Latvia's defence should hold, reinforcing the low-risk double chance.
  • Latvia's recent 1-0 win at Malta is the only head-to-head sample, so that trend is suggestive rather than conclusive.
  • Both teams' heavy recent defeats to stronger opponents show this fixture's quality gap is relative, keeping the draw probability meaningful.
Predicted winner
Latvia U21
Betting advice
Double chance : Latvia U21 or draw
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorLatvia U21Malta U21
Form100.0%0.0%
Attack71.0%29.0%
Defence60.0%40.0%
Poisson77.0%23.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals100.0%0.0%
Total69.3%30.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Latvia U21

Recent form: LDLLWDLLL.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Malta U21

Recent form: LLLLLLLLL.

Average goals scored: 0.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Malta U21 0–1 Latvia U21 (18 Nov 2025)
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