Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes double chance the logical expression of its output, since neither outcome dominates.
- Sarrabus Ogliastra's superior form and defensive record support their inclusion, though Latte Dolce's head-to-head edge and home goals output qualify that lean.
- Latte Dolce's winless five-match run with no clean sheets explains their low 10% win probability despite home advantage.
- Sarrabus Ogliastra's away record of one win, one draw and no losses strengthens the away side of the double chance.
- Both teams' low scoring averages and frequent under 2.5 goal outcomes suggest a tight match where the draw component carries real weight.
- The head-to-head record showing Latte Dolce winning most meetings is the main counterweight to the model's away-leaning probabilities.
- Predicted winner
- Sarrabus Ogliastra
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Sarrabus Ogliastra
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Latte Dolce | Sarrabus Ogliastra |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Attack | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Defence | 39.0% | 61.0% |
| Poisson | 21.0% | 79.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Latte Dolce
Recent form: LLDLD.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Recent form: LWLDD.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Latte Dolce 1–0 Sarrabus Ogliastra (06 Jan 2026)
- Sarrabus Ogliastra 0–0 Latte Dolce (07 Sep 2025)
- Latte Dolce 2–0 Sarrabus Ogliastra (05 Jan 2025)
- Sarrabus Ogliastra 2–2 Latte Dolce (08 Sep 2024)
- Sarrabus Ogliastra 1–0 Latte Dolce (31 Aug 2024)