Italy · Serie C - Girone B

Latina vs Ostia Mare Prediction

· Stadio Domenico Francioni

Latina badgeLatina vs Ostia Mare badgeOstia Mare

Match prediction

  • The model's 35% home and 35% draw probabilities justify double chance despite Ostia Mare's superior form and attack ratings.
  • Latina's home defence concedes only 0.30 goals per game, supporting the advice against an away side averaging 1.30 against.
  • Ostia Mare's stronger recent form and away scoring conflict with the prediction, but their 1.30 goals conceded per game keeps the draw plausible.
  • Latina's winless away record and low scoring average of 0.80 goals per game explain why the model avoids a straight home win.
  • The recent head-to-head draw and even historical split reinforce the draw component of the double chance advice.
  • Both teams rarely exceed 2.5 goals, suggesting a tight, low-scoring match consistent with the cautious double chance selection.
Predicted winner
Latina
Betting advice
Double chance : Latina or draw
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorLatinaOstia Mare
Form36.0%64.0%
Attack42.0%58.0%
Defence43.0%57.0%
Poisson65.0%35.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total47.7%52.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Latina

Recent form: DLWLDL.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Ostia Mare

Recent form: LLWLLWD.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Latina 1–1 Ostia Mare (16 Aug 2026)
  2. Latina 1–2 Ostia Mare (05 Jan 2020)
  3. Ostia Mare 2–2 Latina (01 Sep 2019)
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