Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Las Palmas III vs Lanzarote Prediction

Las Palmas III badgeLas Palmas III vs Lanzarote badgeLanzarote

Match prediction

  • Las Palmas III's unbeaten three-match start, including two wins, contrasts with Lanzarote's three straight draws, supporting the double-chance advice.
  • The model rates home and draw equally at 45 percent, so the advice sensibly covers both outcomes rather than backing a single winner.
  • Lanzarote's attack has produced only one goal per game, while Las Palmas III averages over two, tilting the edge toward the home side.
  • Both defences concede similarly, but Las Palmas III's superior scoring output makes a draw the most plausible alternative outcome.
  • Head-to-head results are evenly split, which tempers confidence and justifies the cautious double-chance rather than a straight home win.
  • Lanzarote's three draws and low-scoring pattern suggest a tight contest, reinforcing the draw as a genuine component of the advice.
Predicted winner
Las Palmas III
Betting advice
Double chance : Las Palmas III or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorLas Palmas IIILanzarote
Form70.0%30.0%
Attack70.0%30.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson54.0%46.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals60.0%40.0%
Total59.0%41.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Las Palmas III

Recent form: WWD.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Lanzarote

Recent form: DDD.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Las Palmas III 2–0 Lanzarote (28 Mar 2026)
  2. Lanzarote 1–1 Las Palmas III (16 Nov 2025)
  3. Lanzarote 1–0 Las Palmas III (16 Jan 2022)
  4. Las Palmas III 3–1 Lanzarote (11 Sep 2021)
  5. Lanzarote 1–0 Las Palmas III (18 Apr 2021)
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