Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas III vs Lanzarote Prediction
Match prediction
- Las Palmas III's unbeaten three-match start, including two wins, contrasts with Lanzarote's three straight draws, supporting the double-chance advice.
- The model rates home and draw equally at 45 percent, so the advice sensibly covers both outcomes rather than backing a single winner.
- Lanzarote's attack has produced only one goal per game, while Las Palmas III averages over two, tilting the edge toward the home side.
- Both defences concede similarly, but Las Palmas III's superior scoring output makes a draw the most plausible alternative outcome.
- Head-to-head results are evenly split, which tempers confidence and justifies the cautious double-chance rather than a straight home win.
- Lanzarote's three draws and low-scoring pattern suggest a tight contest, reinforcing the draw as a genuine component of the advice.
- Predicted winner
- Las Palmas III
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Las Palmas III or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Las Palmas III | Lanzarote |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| Attack | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Total | 59.0% | 41.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Las Palmas III
Recent form: WWD.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Lanzarote
Recent form: DDD.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Las Palmas III 2–0 Lanzarote (28 Mar 2026)
- Lanzarote 1–1 Las Palmas III (16 Nov 2025)
- Lanzarote 1–0 Las Palmas III (16 Jan 2022)
- Las Palmas III 3–1 Lanzarote (11 Sep 2021)
- Lanzarote 1–0 Las Palmas III (18 Apr 2021)


