Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain

Langreo vs Praviano Prediction

Langreo badgeLangreo vs Praviano badgePraviano

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward a Langreo win or draw, with home, draw, and away probabilities of 35%, 35%, and 30% respectively, so the double-chance advice reflects a narrow edge rather than a clear favourite. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Langreo's form (57.00) and attack (67.00) ratings are stronger than Praviano's (43.00 and 33.00), yet the Poisson split of 32.00 to 68.00 points the other way and the head-to-head, goals, and total columns are all level at 0.00 or 50.00. Langreo's three-match form of LDW, with one win, one draw and one loss, is marginally more stable than Praviano's LWL, which contains no draw and two defeats, although both are very small samples. Langreo's goals analysis shows a balanced 2.00 scored and 1.70 conceded per game, with no clean sheets and no failures to score, while Praviano average just 1.00 scored and 1.30 conceded, and their single blank came at home. The last-five records add texture: Langreo mixed a 3-1 win at L'Entregu and a 3-2 win at Llanes with a 2-2 home draw, a 2-1 loss at Ceares and a heavy 6-1 loss at Marino de Luanco, suggesting volatility. Praviano's recent run is similarly uneven, with away wins at Lealtad (2-1) and Colunga (2-0) offset by home defeats to Avilés Stadium, Sporting Gijón II and L'Entregu, all by single-goal margins. The head-to-head section is empty, so no direct historical evidence can support or undermine the prediction, and the venue name is also unavailable. Overall, the form and attack metrics support the Langreo-or-draw advice, but the Poisson model's preference for Praviano and the absence of head-to-head data mean the 35-35-30 probabilities should be treated as finely balanced rather than decisive.

Predicted winner
Langreo
Betting advice
Double chance : Langreo or draw
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorLangreoPraviano
Form57.0%43.0%
Attack67.0%33.0%
Defence44.0%56.0%
Poisson32.0%68.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total50.0%50.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Langreo

Recent form: LDW.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Praviano

Recent form: LWL.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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