Lagun Onak vs Aretxabaleta Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double-chance advice the logical expression of a near-even contest.
• Lagun Onak's superior form and attack metrics conflict with the model's heavy lean toward Aretxabaleta, so the probabilities likely weight head-to-head and Poisson inputs more.
• Aretxabaleta's three clean sheets in four matches, including two away, support both the away side and the under 2.5 goals component.
• Both teams' goal totals stayed under 2.5 in every listed match, reinforcing the low-scoring expectation behind the combo advice.
• The head-to-head record favors Aretxabaleta and shows no high-scoring meeting, aligning with the model's away lean and goals ceiling.
• Lagun Onak's two recent 1-0 wins show defensive solidity, which qualifies the away prediction by keeping a home result plausible.

Predicted winner

Aretxabaleta

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Aretxabaleta and -2.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

-2.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Aretxabaleta 2–1 Lagun Onak (11 Apr 2026)
2. Lagun Onak 2–0 Aretxabaleta (06 Dec 2025)
3. Lagun Onak 0–2 Aretxabaleta (30 Mar 2025)
4. Aretxabaleta 1–1 Lagun Onak (17 Nov 2024)