Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Spain

La Nucía vs Mallorca II Prediction

La Nucía badgeLa Nucía vs Mallorca II badgeMallorca II

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward La Nucía via a “win or draw” double chance combined with under -3.5 goals, assigning 45% to a home win, 45% to a draw, and only 10% to Mallorca II, so the advice effectively treats the away side as a marginal threat. That stance is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where La Nucía dominates form (64.00 vs 36.00), attack (78.00 vs 22.00), and Poisson (69.00 vs 31.00), while defence sits level at 50.00 for both teams. The head-to-head, goals, and total comparison fields are all populated with zeros, meaning they contribute no separating signal and should be read as neutral rather than as evidence against either side. La Nucía’s team analysis shows a perfect WWW record across three matches with no defeats, seven goals scored and only one conceded, including a 5-1 home win and two clean sheets, which supports both the double chance and the low-goals component. Mallorca II’s DDW profile is far less imposing: one win, two draws, two goals scored and one conceded, with a single penalty converted and one failure to score, suggesting a side that is hard to beat but rarely dominant. The goals analysis sharpens this contrast, as La Nucía average 2.30 goals per game with scoring spread across all six time bands, whereas Mallorca II average just 0.70 and have scored both their goals in the 46-60 minute window. Crucially, the under -3.5 element is supported by the goals-for under/over splits: La Nucía have stayed under 3.5 in two of three matches and Mallorca II in all three, and neither side has conceded more than one goal in any match. The last-five records add a note of caution, since La Nucía’s sequence includes a 1-2 home loss to Alcoyano and three of their wins were by a single goal, while Mallorca II’s recent form includes a 1-0 away win at Real Murcia II and a 1-1 draw at Valencia II. The head-to-head section is empty, so no historical matchup evidence is available to confirm or contradict the model’s strong home lean, and the small three-match samples mean the probabilities should be treated as indicative rather than firm.

Predicted winner
La Nucía
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : La Nucía or draw and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorLa NucíaMallorca II
Form64.0%36.0%
Attack78.0%22.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson69.0%31.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total65.3%34.8%

Team form and goal analysis

La Nucía

Recent form: WWW.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Mallorca II

Recent form: DDW.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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