Second Amateur Division - ACFF · Belgium
La Calamine vs Acren-Lessines Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model favours La Calamine with a double chance at 45% home and 45% draw against only 10% for Acren-Lessines, and the comparison metrics broadly reinforce that lean through form (88 versus 13), attack (60 versus 40), defence (59 versus 41) and Poisson (75 versus 25). Those gaps are consistent with the last-five records, where La Calamine have won two of five (LLDWW) while Acren-Lessines are winless in five (LLDLL) with four defeats. La Calamine's goal profile also looks stronger, averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, whereas Acren-Lessines average 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, and the away side have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their five matches. The head-to-head record is the main counterweight, since it is split 50-50 in the comparison and the six meetings include three draws, a 5-0 La Calamine win, a 3-1 Acren-Lessines win and a 2-0 away victory for La Calamine. That mixed history, plus the fact that both teams' goals comparison is level at 50-50, suggests the fixture has not been consistently dominated by either side despite the current form disparity. The small samples involved—five league matches each and six head-to-head meetings—mean the form and Poisson gaps should be treated as indicative rather than decisive. La Calamine's own record is not flawless either, with two defeats and two matches without scoring, and their clean-sheet count is zero, so the 45% draw probability captures a genuine risk of dropped points. Overall, the evidence supports the cautious double-chance advice rather than a confident home win, with the head-to-head parity and La Calamine's defensive vulnerability qualifying the stronger form and attacking numbers.
- Predicted winner
- La Calamine
- Betting advice
- Double chance : La Calamine or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | La Calamine | Acren-Lessines |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88.0% | 13.0% |
| Attack | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Defence | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Poisson | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 63.7% | 36.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
La Calamine
Recent form: LLDWW.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Acren-Lessines
Recent form: LLDLL.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Head-to-head record
- La Calamine 2–2 Acren-Lessines (04 Feb 2026)
- Acren-Lessines 3–1 La Calamine (28 Sep 2025)
- La Calamine 0–0 Acren-Lessines (18 Jan 2025)
- Acren-Lessines 0–2 La Calamine (15 Sep 2024)
- Acren-Lessines 3–3 La Calamine (03 Mar 2024)