Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 17

La Almunia vs Cuarte Prediction

La Almunia badgeLa Almunia vs Cuarte badgeCuarte

Match prediction

  • Cuarte's superior attack, defence and goals metrics support the away side, though the model's equal 45% draw and away probabilities justify covering both outcomes.
  • La Almunia's better recent form is offset by Cuarte's stronger underlying numbers, so the double chance hedges against the hosts' resilience.
  • The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced and includes four draws, reinforcing why the draw carries equal weight to a Cuarte win.
  • Cuarte's away form is mixed with two losses in three, which tempers confidence in an outright away victory and supports the draw-or-Cuarte advice.
  • Both teams concede regularly and neither keeps clean sheets often, suggesting goals are likely but the model offers no under-over guidance.
  • La Almunia's low 10% win probability reflects their weaker overall profile despite home advantage, making the double chance the safer expression of Cuarte's edge.
Predicted winner
Cuarte
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Cuarte
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorLa AlmuniaCuarte
Form54.0%46.0%
Attack47.0%53.0%
Defence45.0%55.0%
Poisson49.0%51.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals33.0%67.0%
Total46.3%53.7%

Team form and goal analysis

La Almunia

Recent form: DLWW.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Cuarte

Recent form: WWLL.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. La Almunia 0–0 Cuarte (22 Feb 2026)
  2. Cuarte 0–0 La Almunia (11 Oct 2025)
  3. La Almunia 1–5 Cuarte (23 Feb 2025)
  4. Cuarte 0–1 La Almunia (13 Oct 2024)
  5. Cuarte 1–1 La Almunia (19 Feb 2023)
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