Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Cuarte Prediction
La Almunia vs
Cuarte
Match prediction
- Cuarte's superior attack, defence and goals metrics support the away side, though the model's equal 45% draw and away probabilities justify covering both outcomes.
- La Almunia's better recent form is offset by Cuarte's stronger underlying numbers, so the double chance hedges against the hosts' resilience.
- The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced and includes four draws, reinforcing why the draw carries equal weight to a Cuarte win.
- Cuarte's away form is mixed with two losses in three, which tempers confidence in an outright away victory and supports the draw-or-Cuarte advice.
- Both teams concede regularly and neither keeps clean sheets often, suggesting goals are likely but the model offers no under-over guidance.
- La Almunia's low 10% win probability reflects their weaker overall profile despite home advantage, making the double chance the safer expression of Cuarte's edge.
- Predicted winner
- Cuarte
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Cuarte
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | La Almunia | Cuarte |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Attack | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Defence | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Poisson | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Total | 46.3% | 53.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
La Almunia
Recent form: DLWW.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Cuarte
Recent form: WWLL.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- La Almunia 0–0 Cuarte (22 Feb 2026)
- Cuarte 0–0 La Almunia (11 Oct 2025)
- La Almunia 1–5 Cuarte (23 Feb 2025)
- Cuarte 0–1 La Almunia (13 Oct 2024)
- Cuarte 1–1 La Almunia (19 Feb 2023)
