Russia · Second League - Group 1
Kyzyltash vs Shahter Taganrog Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
- Kyzyltash's perfect head-to-head record and superior home scoring support including them, but that sample is a single match.
- Shahter Taganrog's stronger form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings conflict with the advice, warning that the away side is underrated at 10%.
- Kyzyltash's leaky defence and habit of losing recent away games suggest the draw leg carries real value.
- Both teams' low-scoring profiles and Shahter's strong away defence point toward a tight, low-goal contest.
- Shahter's recent draws and narrow defeat indicate resilience, making a Kyzyltash win alone riskier than the double chance implies.
- Predicted winner
- Kyzyltash
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Kyzyltash or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Kyzyltash | Shahter Taganrog |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Attack | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Defence | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Poisson | 32.0% | 68.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 42.3% | 57.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Kyzyltash
Recent form: WWDWDLWLLWWLWWLDLWLDWLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Shahter Taganrog
Recent form: LWWWDWWWWWWLDWDLWWWWWDWDL.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Shahter Taganrog 0–1 Kyzyltash (28 Mar 2026)