Kuressaare vs Saku Sporting Prediction
· Kuressaare Linnastaadion
Match prediction
- The model's three-way probabilities are nearly even, so Kuressaare's 35% edge is marginal and the advice leans on goal volume rather than clear dominance.
- Both teams enter with identical 50% form and two straight wins, which undercuts any claim of a decisive Kuressaare advantage.
- Kuressaare's superior attack rating of 59 versus 41 supports their narrow favourite status despite the level form and defence metrics.
- Every recent match for both sides produced at least two goals, making the +1.5 goals component the most defensible part of the advice.
- The Poisson split of 0% home versus 100% away directly contradicts the home-winner pick, a conflict that tempers confidence in Kuressaare.
- Kuressaare's last five show two losses and two draws, so their cup form is far less convincing than the model's home lean suggests.
- Predicted winner
- Kuressaare
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : Kuressaare and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Kuressaare | Saku Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 53.0% | 47.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Kuressaare
Recent form: WW.
Average goals scored: 6.50 per match.
Saku Sporting
Recent form: WW.
Average goals scored: 4.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.